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NL Wild Card Standings Explained: Updated Playoff Chances and Tiebreakers for Braves, Mets, and Diamondbacks in the 2024 MLB Bracket

The Thrilling NL Wild-Card Race: A Look at the Final Stretch

As the regular season winds down, the excitement in Major League Baseball is palpable, especially in the National League. With all division races decided before the final weekend, the focus shifts to the wild-card race, where the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Atlanta Braves, New York Mets, and Arizona Diamondbacks are all vying for just two coveted postseason spots, setting the stage for a dramatic finish that could extend into Monday.

The Current Landscape

Entering the weekend, the Braves, Mets, and Diamondbacks are locked in a fierce battle, separated by a mere fraction of a game. The Braves and Mets both hold records of 87-71 (.551), while the Diamondbacks sit slightly behind at 88-72 (.550). This tight race means that every game counts, and with the Padres already securing one wild-card berth, the pressure is on for these three teams.

Weathering the Storm: Hurricane Helene’s Impact

Adding to the drama, Hurricane Helene has caused significant disruptions in the schedule. The Braves and Mets had their games postponed on Wednesday and Thursday, leading to a crucial doubleheader on Monday. This unexpected twist means that all three teams could potentially finish Sunday without knowing their playoff fate, making for an electrifying atmosphere as fans and players alike await the outcomes.

Breaking Down the Magic Numbers

With the playoff picture so close, understanding each team’s magic number is essential. The magic number represents the combination of wins and losses by competitors that will secure a playoff spot.

Mets Magic Number: 3
The Mets control their destiny with four games remaining. However, their hopes of clinching a postseason berth were complicated by a loss in their series opener against the Braves and the subsequent postponements. To secure their spot, the Mets need to sweep their doubleheader against the Braves and hope for some losses from the Diamondbacks against the Padres.

Diamondbacks Magic Number: None, but Elimination Number: 3
The Diamondbacks find themselves in a precarious position. After a loss to the Padres, they are now on the outside looking in. Their elimination number stands at 3, meaning they need to win and hope for losses from both the Braves and Mets to keep their postseason hopes alive.

Braves Magic Number: 3
The Braves surged back into a playoff position with a recent victory over the Royals. They know that winning three consecutive games will guarantee their spot in the postseason, regardless of what the Mets and Diamondbacks do. With a solid head-to-head record against both teams, the Braves are in a strong position to capitalize on any slip-ups.

The NL Wild-Card Standings

As of September 27, the wild-card standings are as follows:

  • WC1: Padres, 92-68 (.575), +4.0 GB
  • WC2: Braves, 87-71 (.551)
  • WC3: Mets, 87-71 (.551)
  • Diamondbacks, 88-72 (.550), 0.0 GB

The Cubs, Cardinals, Giants, Reds, Pirates, Nationals, Rockies, and Marlins have all been eliminated from postseason contention, leaving the focus squarely on the Braves, Mets, and Diamondbacks.

Are the Braves in the Playoffs?

While the Braves have not yet clinched a playoff spot, their recent performance has propelled them to the No. 5 seed. With three wins needed to guarantee their postseason berth, the Braves are in a favorable position. They hold the tiebreaker over the Diamondbacks and are just one win away from securing the same advantage over the Mets.

Are the Mets in the Playoffs?

The Mets currently sit in the No. 6 seed but have not yet secured their postseason spot. Their upcoming doubleheader against the Braves will be pivotal. Winning three more games is essential for the Mets, and they will also be hoping for favorable outcomes from the Padres against the Diamondbacks to ease their path to the playoffs.

Are the Diamondbacks in the Playoffs?

The Diamondbacks are currently on the outside looking in and no longer control their fate. Their recent struggles against the Padres have put them in a tough spot. If they can manage to secure a win, they may still have a chance to keep their postseason hopes alive, but they will need help from the other teams to ensure they remain in contention.

The Final Stretch

As the regular season draws to a close, the excitement surrounding the NL wild-card race is at an all-time high. With the potential for a dramatic finish, fans are eagerly anticipating the outcomes of the final games. The Braves, Mets, and Diamondbacks each have their paths to the postseason, but only time will tell who will emerge victorious in this thrilling race.